The US$ has kept marching higher and this is having a predictable impact on some Forex pairs and Gold. US stocks are lower and I had warned on the weekend that this chop might continue. I note this quote from CNBC:
“Investors are being whipsawed by conflicting COVID headlines and the growth vs. cyclical debate,” said Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge in a note. “The result is sentiment souring on both growth and cyclical for the moment (which obviously means stocks are for sale broadly).”
Data: Watch today with the SNB rate update and another Fed Chair Powell testimony.
Earnings:
DXY daily: the march higher continues so watch the upper region of the Cloud as this could act as the next level of resistance:
Trend line breakouts:
USD/JPY 4hr: one of the cleanest b/o moves again this week. Watch for any push to and / or past the 61.8% fib:
Gold: watch for any longer-term Inv H&S formation here:
Gold 4hr: this TL b/o is now at $65:
Gold weekly: not updated for today’s move lower BUT watch for any weekly and, then, monthly close below $1,900 as this would support the Inverse H&S with all its associated choppiness:
EUR/USD 4hr: this TL b/o is now at 60 pips BUT watch the 13-yr TL:
I would have expected this multi-year trend lie to be tested but, if it fails, then there is potential for a good move lower before the uptrend is technically broken. The 61.8% fib of this latest swing High is down below 1.13 so….keep an open mind!
AUD/USD 4hr: this latest TL b/o is now at 120 pips BUT watch for any push to test the multi-year TL:
NZD/USD 4hr: this latest TL b/o is now at 160 pips BUT watch for any push to test the multi-year TL:
USD/CAD daily: this latest TL b/o is now at 190 pips BUT watch for any longer-term push to the 1.40 target region:
Other markets:
S&P500 4hr: lower today so watch TL for any new b/o:
ASX-200 4hr: looking weak so watch TL for any b/o:
GBP/USD 4hr: holding up relatively well BUT watch TL for any new b/o:
GBP/JPY 4hr: also up relatively well BUT watch TL for any new b/o: