Sun 14th Sept
A trader wrote to me over the w/e asking me to check out what he thought was a bullish Cup ‘n’ Handle pattern setting up on the stock: Apple (AAPL). This is how the weekly chart of AAPL was looking after Friday’s close.
Cup ‘n’ Handle patterns are bullish patterns and this is best explained with the help of a diagram. Price action in such patterns usually show a gradual decline followed by recovery to previous highs and in a rounded fashion. This gives the pattern the ‘Cup’ label. This period is then followed by a period of sideways consolidation in what forms up as the ‘Handle’. Technical theory states that any potential bullish continuation can be predicted to extend by the same order of magnitude as the height of the Cup pattern:
The chart of AAPL does seems to have the key ingredients of a potential Cup ‘n’ Handle pattern. There has been a rounded decline and recovery to $100 and we may now be starting to see some consolidation at the key and psychological $100 level. The height of the ‘Cup’ is about $40 and so traders could expect any bullish continuation move to be of about $40 as well and this would take the stock to $140. Traders need to watch now for any bullish breakout from the channel trend lines of the ‘Handle’:
Summary: AAPL appears to be setting up in a bullish Cup ‘n’ Handle pattern on the weekly chart worth a possible $40 move. Traders need to watch the ‘Handle’ trend lines for any bullish breakout move.
Hi , your opinion is very valuable and helpful to me. Thanks a lot. Now I realise I have to practice great patience
(which is less in my character )for applying it
Hi Mary , audnzd is in see saw on the line 1.105. But well below cloud in H4. But a tempation for buy now itself is disturbing becos of 1.105.. Kindly if you comment on this it would be helpful.
Hi Water,
I don’t think we will get a clear picture on this pair until after NZ elections (next Sat). A big week for data as well with FOMC.
Any retreat with USD could boost both pairs though and further fuel choppiness.
I am thinking that we could see some support kick in on the A/U but this hasn’t evolved as yet.
I would view a weekly close above 1.105 as bullish but that doesn’t help much with day to day trading here.
I am waiting to see where this pair closes for the week before trading.
Hope that helps you.
Yes. Even if it is a very risk off analysis it is helpful . Thank You